But not capped enough to avoid him in cash games. Daytona 500 Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions. Since Auto Club is so wide, it may reward Chastains aggressive driving style should he slide around and dive deep under cars. Could Kyle Busch get one Sunday? Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. These practice times can provide very useful fantasy information if the times can be properly interpreted. Reddick completely dominated the race at Auto Club in February. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Try it out! Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Christopher Bell 4. If you're looking to bet on some NASCAR action, here are two of the best bonuses* available: A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet ofup to $1,000! Reddick also had a top five average speed in this same category at the first Darlington race, coming home in second place. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. Tyler Reddick In race #1 2020, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.6 average running position, recorded the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 5th overall. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. Its also the closest to my hometown. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. 9 car for Watkins Glen). Thanks for choosing to comment on this article. ET on Sunday. Anthony Alfredo Aggressive Lineup (GPP) 1. Another part of McClure's NASCAR DFS strategy includes rostering Tyler Reddick ($9,700 on DraftKings and $11,500 on FanDuel). As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. Grab This Top 10 Prop Bet For The NASCAR Race At Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Watkins Glen NASCAR Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order (Go Bowling At The Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling Michigan is a 2-mile race track. The starting lineup would be set by the rulebook if qualifying gets rained out, which is likely the metric formula used predominantly in 2020. Michigan always puts on a good show and I expect the same this week. With the Toyota speed, its somewhat capped. Copyright Fantasy Golf Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Live / Driver Group Game Questions. The talk of the weekend is how the Toyotas dominated practice and qualifying, but for DFS purposes we need to extend beyond the Toyotas and look at the whole field. Before setting your NASCAR DFS strategy for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure tocheck out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Reddick is listed at 10-1 while Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The No. The Cup Series has spent the summer competing on road courses, the Superspeedway at Atlanta and flat tracks. Heres my NASCAR DFS picks and strategy for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview andbetting picks. Michigan | DFS NASCAR Fantasy Driver-by-Driver Breakdown (DraftKings & FanDuel) Watch on Optimal Lineup According to Jordans Projections The optimal Last year, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking, led 13 laps and then finished 7th when the checkered flag waved. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview and, Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview, NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Busch Makes First Move, Climbs Into No. Daniel Suarez 6. Truex has been a beast at Michigan. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. Austin Dillon 5. Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Theres no denying that Jones should be the favorite of the group, but his -105 odds are steep. And then the third table is the last four races of data from here at Michigan specifically. Stenhouses salary is a little high, but could be a nice fill-in for your lineups on DraftKings. Eat the chalk with Pasta this weekend, especially in cash games. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Ty Dillon ($6,600) starts all the way back in in 33rd position at Michigan and finished in the 20th spot there in June. At the other high-speed intermediate tracks visited this year, Reddick has shown speed and has results of 6th (Charlotte), 7th (Las Vegas) and 30th (Kansas, looked like a top five contender until he got into the wall). The optimal DraftKings lineup for Michigan according to my Projections is: Confidence Rating = 7.6/10. If he can keep his car in one piece, Reddick should be a good pick. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the NASCAR at Michigan odds followed by Kyle Larson (6-1) and Chase Elliott (13-2). The No. Bell could be a little underused in tournaments because his practice times werent the best. In that contest, the top score was 291.4 and won $300 with race winner Tyler Reddick, Cindric, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace, Harrison Burton, and Gilliland. As far as DraftKings scoring, the rules are the same as last season: 0.45 points for each fastest lap and 0.25 for each lap led. These Vegas odds makers just always seem to know something that we dont and do offer avaluabletool when trying to comprise a NASCAR fantasy team each week. Fantasy sports doesnt sleep, and neither does Fantrax, with seasons running 365 days a year. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries for Saturday. You can also look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club. Christopher Bell 4. As someone who has always been obsessed with numbers, Fantasy NASCAR has been the perfect fit with me. The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. Thats a good effort for him. Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. Note: Stats below include Cup only at Martinsville Speedway, Bristol Motor Speedway and Richmond Raceway, Kyle Larson ($10,800)Career at Auto Club: 8 starts, 2 wins, 4 top fives, 4 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 13.0. Austin Dillon ($8,000) If the obvious chalk plays in this price range this weekend, I think Austin Dillon is the safest, so thats why Im writing him up. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers. Michigan Track History Kyle Busch is an elite performer at Michigan who currently has nine straight results between 3rd to 10th. If you When it comes to the tire combination this weekend, Goodyear is bringing the same left side tires that the Cup Series ran here at Michigan last year. ET . Ohio State is 10-20-0 ATS this season. I think Busch already knows where he is racing next year but the organizations involved are waiting to dot the Is and cross the Ts before they make the announcement. Im just going to chalk up his result to him not closing well. I believe thats a mistake. Larson had a top 10 average speed in four of last years five events at high-tire wear tracks, including at Homestead en route to the win. This week's sleeper pick is Brian Vickers, and adding Vickers would be a smart pick up for almost any team owner. Chase Elliott 3. Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. The No. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. Michigan has been on of Vickers best tracks, with the last three races resulting in three top 10s, including one win and an AFP of 6.67. Joy joined Frontstretch in 2019 as a NASCAR DraftKings writer, expanding to news and iRacing coverage in 2020. In 2022 over the combined races at high-speed intermediate tracks (Auto Club, Las Vegas Kansas and Charlotte), Larson has a series best 3.5 average finish, the best driver rating and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking is the 4th best. Keep in mind that theres rain expected most of Saturday, so you might not get to see how drivers will perform in their limited practice time. Play Erik Jones at $8100. Ill note, he spent some time running in the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd. I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though, unless youre not including Larson in it. Kyle Larson is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, look for Kyle Busch to be a top five contender wholl be a factor to win. McClure is also targeting an undervalued driver set to return plenty of value. ET Fantasy Football. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap.